Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 46 · v5

Severe Weather in United States

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 2 hours ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

This alert expired on 20 September 2026 at 17:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flood Warning issued September 20 at 8:38AM EDT until September 20 at 1:30PM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH

Urban PEI: 1,186,504 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

How we know

2 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.

Our own score for this event is 46 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)46 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.86/1
Coordinates39.7256, -83.4905
Nearest CitySpringfield (35 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)1.2M within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-09-20T14:10:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.4a531e80488b73cdd26b3d8555e6f7ea7cc2fa28.001.1

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-09-20T14:10:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-09-20T12:42:50.646Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
100
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
18
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventFlood Warning
UrgencyExpected
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescFairfield, OH; Hocking, OH; Pickaway, OH; Ross, OH; Calhoun, WV; Doddridge, WV; Gilmer, WV; Jackson, WV; Ritchie, WV; Roane, WV; Wirt, WV; Wood, WV; Gallia, OH; Jackson, OH; Lawrence, OH; Meigs, OH; Vinton, OH; Jackson, WV; Mason, WV; Putnam, WV and 12 more areas
HeadlineFlood Warning issued September 20 at 8:38AM EDT until September 20 at 1:30PM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH
Expires2026-09-20T13:30:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Wilmington OH
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount16
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4a531e80488b73cdd26b3d8555e6f7ea7cc2fa28.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f582d873a8f97f685edbbf37eaf4bce2703a7c2d.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a72cff874b96bd315983011093558c81d4e74ce5.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5153ceee0680d3b0551db724f98cb590d74b5263.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a590c345eef217deffba506b380cd6335b815501.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.22fad48a9449e922b26c18e8a60933e2f33575dc.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.cc024079a566c0b8d0eafaafdf6262076078df46.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.cc024079a566c0b8d0eafaafdf6262076078df46.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6305866f3cd233f48c62be0fa33e6c73c30e3440.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ffe302485ecefee7fb603bb2c67a168bace9fe94.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.852f6fdb412ff4c4f1870fe91515eebed15b3556.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.baff7ba7dd73092bc70d7dd65caeb6f048738bfa.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b24224ce15daf3c1e095d41e13dc863d5fb5798d.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b24224ce15daf3c1e095d41e13dc863d5fb5798d.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8f74390c7f4443d81c157f6eb1ded97cd821f5f0.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.aaf4d5280c2ca42ed2ab5f0b82f89b288e77e583.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryF
Iem City4 ENE Kingston
Iem CountyPickaway
Iem StateOH
Iem WfoILN
Iem RemarkWater evacuations underway since about 2am.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_F_39.500_-82.850_1789906920000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1789906920000,"latitude":39.5,"longitude":-82.85}]

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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